Forecast Week 10

My Best Bets continue to be strong fades

My Forecast has been a big pain in my backside this season.

Even more so last week!

Two sub-par weeks have dipped my winning percentage to below 60 percent on my straight-up picks as I finished last week with a 5-8 record.

The Best Bets continue to be very good fade options as I struggled again with 1-4 record.

And for the first time this season, I had a losing record in my Survivor picks, going 1-2.

At least I still have a half of season to improve my numbers and look to get my Best Bets back to the winning side.

Onto the games!

(Odds are based on BetMGM lines)

Jacksonville at Indianapolis (Colts -10.5, 47.5 over/under): The last time the Jaguars won in Indianapolis was in 2017. They lose again. Colts, 31-17

Cleveland at New England (Patriots -2, 45): In the Bill Belichick coaching era, the Browns have never beaten the Patriots at Foxborough. Patriots, 20-14

Atlanta at Dallas (Cowboys -8, 54.5): The last three times these two met in Dallas they have averaged 68 points a game. Cowboys, 42-27

Buffalo at NY Jets (Bills -12, 47.5): The trend during the last several years has been if a double-digit favorite had lost its previous game, the odds are forever in the Bills’ favor this week. Bills, 43-10

New Orleans at Tennessee (Titans -3, 44.5): One of the hottest teams in the NFL and at home and only a 3-point favorite vs. a team without their top QB or RB. Hmmm? Saints, 24-21

Tampa Bay at Washington (Buccaneers -9.5, 50.5): The Bucs may be down several pass catchers, but it doesn’t matter to Tom Brady. Buccaneers, 37-27

Detroit at Pittsburgh (Steelers -7.5, 42.5): The Lions have only played two games outdoors this year, and they lost both games by 10 points or more. Steelers, 27-10

Minnesota at LA Chargers (Chargers -3, 53): Another game where the home favorite should be favored by more. I’ll take the Chargers but I don’t like it. Chargers, 37-35

Carolina at Arizona (Cardinals -10, 44): I have a sneaky feeling Christian McCaffrey reminds everyone why he is the best RB in the NFL. Cardinals, 39-38

Seattle at Green Bay (Packers -3.5, 49.5): A little side note – Russell Wilson should have waited one more week before returning from IR because he has never won at Lambeau Field. Packers, 37-23

Philadelphia at Denver (Broncos -2, 45): The Eagles have not won in the Mile High City since 1989. Broncos, 35-20

Kansas City at Las Vegas (Chiefs -2.5, 52.5): Since 2013, the Chiefs are 13-3 vs. the Raiders. Chiefs, 37-30

LA Rams at San Francisco (Rams -3, 47): The 49ers have controlled this series the last two seasons. Rams, 23-20

Last week: 5-8 (.385)

Thursday record: 6-4 (.600) Baltimore – loss

Overall record: 82-55 (.599)

Survivor Picks: Indianapolis, Green Bay and Denver.

Survivor Picks last week record: 1-2 (.333)

Survivor Picks overall record: 19-8 (.704)

Best Bets: Atlanta-Dallas over 54.5, Tampa Bay-Washington over 50.5, Pittsburgh -7.5, Carolina +10 and Denver -2.

Best Bets last week record: 1-4 (.200)

Thursday’s Best Bets: 7-3 (.700) Miami +8 – win

Best Bets overall record: 21-32-1 (.398)

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